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Teknologi·Apple

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

icon for Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Teknologi·Apple

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

78% peluang
Polymarket

$281,950 Vol.

78% peluang
Polymarket

$281,950 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo confirm Apple remains on track for a September 2026 announcement of its first foldable iPhone, likely branded iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Trial production has advanced, with suppliers preparing for roughly 10 million units despite earlier engineering concerns around hinges and displays. While some Nikkei Asia reporting flagged potential slippage into 2027 due to production snags, the prevailing credible signals point to a fall 2026 debut with possible limited initial availability. This timeline, well before the end of 2026, underpins the 78% market-implied odds for a pre-2027 release as traders weigh confirmed progress against typical Apple hardware risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$281,950
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo confirm Apple remains on track for a September 2026 announcement of its first foldable iPhone, likely branded iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Trial production has advanced, with suppliers preparing for roughly 10 million units despite earlier engineering concerns around hinges and displays. While some Nikkei Asia reporting flagged potential slippage into 2027 due to production snags, the prevailing credible signals point to a fall 2026 debut with possible limited initial availability. This timeline, well before the end of 2026, underpins the 78% market-implied odds for a pre-2027 release as traders weigh confirmed progress against typical Apple hardware risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$281,950
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 78% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 78¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $281.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 12, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?" adalah 78% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 78% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.