Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.9% implied probability to a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing into law before 2027, driven by a nationwide surge in local and state restrictions amid soaring energy costs—PJM grid expenses have ballooned from $22 billion to $147 billion annually, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Over 78 jurisdictions now block new builds, 54 have enacted moratoriums, and 27 states advance similar measures, fueled by protests over utility spikes, noise pollution, and resource strain; notable examples include Oklahoma City's council passage and Virginia project cancellations. Symbolic federal momentum from Sanders and AOC's March bill adds tailwinds. Realistic upsets hinge on gubernatorial vetoes like Maine's or legal injunctions, though the localized wave and broad resolution criteria—encompassing any data center bans—make a No outcome improbable before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa moratoria del data center AI è passata prima del 2027?
La moratoria del data center AI è passata prima del 2027?
Sì
$50,290 Vol.
$50,290 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$50,290 Vol.
$50,290 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.9% implied probability to a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing into law before 2027, driven by a nationwide surge in local and state restrictions amid soaring energy costs—PJM grid expenses have ballooned from $22 billion to $147 billion annually, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Over 78 jurisdictions now block new builds, 54 have enacted moratoriums, and 27 states advance similar measures, fueled by protests over utility spikes, noise pollution, and resource strain; notable examples include Oklahoma City's council passage and Virginia project cancellations. Symbolic federal momentum from Sanders and AOC's March bill adds tailwinds. Realistic upsets hinge on gubernatorial vetoes like Maine's or legal injunctions, though the localized wave and broad resolution criteria—encompassing any data center bans—make a No outcome improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$50,290Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.9% implied probability to a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing into law before 2027, driven by a nationwide surge in local and state restrictions amid soaring energy costs—PJM grid expenses have ballooned from $22 billion to $147 billion annually, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Over 78 jurisdictions now block new builds, 54 have enacted moratoriums, and 27 states advance similar measures, fueled by protests over utility spikes, noise pollution, and resource strain; notable examples include Oklahoma City's council passage and Virginia project cancellations. Symbolic federal momentum from Sanders and AOC's March bill adds tailwinds. Realistic upsets hinge on gubernatorial vetoes like Maine's or legal injunctions, though the localized wave and broad resolution criteria—encompassing any data center bans—make a No outcome improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$50,290Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91.9% implied probability to a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing into law before 2027, driven by a nationwide surge in local and state restrictions amid soaring energy costs—PJM grid expenses have ballooned from $22 billion to $147 billion annually, with residential rates up 32% in five years. Over 78 jurisdictions now block new builds, 54 have enacted moratoriums, and 27 states advance similar measures, fueled by protests over utility spikes, noise pollution, and resource strain; notable examples include Oklahoma City's council passage and Virginia project cancellations. Symbolic federal momentum from Sanders and AOC's March bill adds tailwinds. Realistic upsets hinge on gubernatorial vetoes like Maine's or legal injunctions, though the localized wave and broad resolution criteria—encompassing any data center bans—make a No outcome improbable before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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