Tom Begich leads trader pricing in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race after filing early as the first Democrat and posting consistent double-digit leads in April polling against a fragmented Republican field. The nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 followed by ranked-choice voting in November favors candidates with broad name recognition, which benefits Begich through family political ties and statewide outreach. Bernadette Wilson sits second in market consensus amid scattered support for other GOP entrants including former Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, and state Sen. Click Bishop. Recent surveys highlight Begich’s advantage in hypothetical general-election matchups while underscoring uncertainty over which four candidates will advance from the primary.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTom Begich 39%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.3%
Treg Taylor 10.2%
$972,541 Vol.
$972,541 Vol.

Tom Begich
39%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
11%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
Tom Begich 39%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.3%
Treg Taylor 10.2%
$972,541 Vol.
$972,541 Vol.

Tom Begich
39%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
11%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Begich leads trader pricing in Alaska’s open 2026 gubernatorial race after filing early as the first Democrat and posting consistent double-digit leads in April polling against a fragmented Republican field. The nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 followed by ranked-choice voting in November favors candidates with broad name recognition, which benefits Begich through family political ties and statewide outreach. Bernadette Wilson sits second in market consensus amid scattered support for other GOP entrants including former Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson, and state Sen. Click Bishop. Recent surveys highlight Begich’s advantage in hypothetical general-election matchups while underscoring uncertainty over which four candidates will advance from the primary.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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