Recent hawkish comments from Bank of Korea officials have driven the market-implied probability of no change at the July policy meeting to 54.5 percent, with an increase priced at 44.0 percent. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai noted in early May that growth is tracking near the 2.0 percent forecast while inflation is likely to exceed the prior 2.2 percent projection, prompting consideration of rate hikes after seven consecutive holds at the 2.50 percent base rate. March CPI rose to 2.2 percent amid surging global oil prices, and robust semiconductor exports have limited downside risks to activity despite Middle East geopolitical uncertainty. Traders are now focusing on the May 28 meeting for updated forward guidance, as incoming inflation and growth data will shape the path to the July decision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBank of Korea decision in July?
Nessuna variazione 54%
Aumento 45%
Diminuzione 1.6%
$13,396 Vol.
$13,396 Vol.
Diminuzione
2%
Nessuna variazione
54%
Aumento
45%
Nessuna variazione 54%
Aumento 45%
Diminuzione 1.6%
$13,396 Vol.
$13,396 Vol.
Diminuzione
2%
Nessuna variazione
54%
Aumento
45%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish comments from Bank of Korea officials have driven the market-implied probability of no change at the July policy meeting to 54.5 percent, with an increase priced at 44.0 percent. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai noted in early May that growth is tracking near the 2.0 percent forecast while inflation is likely to exceed the prior 2.2 percent projection, prompting consideration of rate hikes after seven consecutive holds at the 2.50 percent base rate. March CPI rose to 2.2 percent amid surging global oil prices, and robust semiconductor exports have limited downside risks to activity despite Middle East geopolitical uncertainty. Traders are now focusing on the May 28 meeting for updated forward guidance, as incoming inflation and growth data will shape the path to the July decision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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