South Korea's former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. A February 2026 Seoul court ruling imposed a life sentence on insurrection charges, which Yoon has appealed, while a July 2026 Supreme Court decision upheld a separate seven-year term for related offenses including obstruction and document falsification. Multiple additional trials continue, with further appeals likely extending the judicial timeline under South Korea's multi-tiered system. No presidential pardon, bail grant, or release has occurred or been signaled as of mid-August 2026, aligning trader consensus on low odds of freedom before 2027 with the scale of confirmed penalties and procedural norms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% probabilità
$182,284 Vol.
$182,284 Vol.
31 dic 2026
7% probabilità
$182,284 Vol.
$182,284 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. A February 2026 Seoul court ruling imposed a life sentence on insurrection charges, which Yoon has appealed, while a July 2026 Supreme Court decision upheld a separate seven-year term for related offenses including obstruction and document falsification. Multiple additional trials continue, with further appeals likely extending the judicial timeline under South Korea's multi-tiered system. No presidential pardon, bail grant, or release has occurred or been signaled as of mid-August 2026, aligning trader consensus on low odds of freedom before 2027 with the scale of confirmed penalties and procedural norms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$182,284Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. A February 2026 Seoul court ruling imposed a life sentence on insurrection charges, which Yoon has appealed, while a July 2026 Supreme Court decision upheld a separate seven-year term for related offenses including obstruction and document falsification. Multiple additional trials continue, with further appeals likely extending the judicial timeline under South Korea's multi-tiered system. No presidential pardon, bail grant, or release has occurred or been signaled as of mid-August 2026, aligning trader consensus on low odds of freedom before 2027 with the scale of confirmed penalties and procedural norms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$182,284Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. A February 2026 Seoul court ruling imposed a life sentence on insurrection charges, which Yoon has appealed, while a July 2026 Supreme Court decision upheld a separate seven-year term for related offenses including obstruction and document falsification. Multiple additional trials continue, with further appeals likely extending the judicial timeline under South Korea's multi-tiered system. No presidential pardon, bail grant, or release has occurred or been signaled as of mid-August 2026, aligning trader consensus on low odds of freedom before 2027 with the scale of confirmed penalties and procedural norms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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