President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position stems from the Democratic Party's majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds supermajority required for an impeachment motion unattainable amid opposition from the People Power Party. Recent delays by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—extending review of a petition exceeding 150,000 signatures to May 2028—have stalled public pressure, fueling trader consensus at 90.8% for no impeachment before 2027. The ruling party's push for special counsel bills targeting his pending criminal cases, including alleged fabricated indictments from his gubernatorial tenure, further shields him from legal escalation that could trigger impeachment. Absent major scandals or defections, upcoming local elections in June pose limited risk to this stability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
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31 dic 2026
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31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position stems from the Democratic Party's majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds supermajority required for an impeachment motion unattainable amid opposition from the People Power Party. Recent delays by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—extending review of a petition exceeding 150,000 signatures to May 2028—have stalled public pressure, fueling trader consensus at 90.8% for no impeachment before 2027. The ruling party's push for special counsel bills targeting his pending criminal cases, including alleged fabricated indictments from his gubernatorial tenure, further shields him from legal escalation that could trigger impeachment. Absent major scandals or defections, upcoming local elections in June pose limited risk to this stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$9,155Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position stems from the Democratic Party's majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds supermajority required for an impeachment motion unattainable amid opposition from the People Power Party. Recent delays by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—extending review of a petition exceeding 150,000 signatures to May 2028—have stalled public pressure, fueling trader consensus at 90.8% for no impeachment before 2027. The ruling party's push for special counsel bills targeting his pending criminal cases, including alleged fabricated indictments from his gubernatorial tenure, further shields him from legal escalation that could trigger impeachment. Absent major scandals or defections, upcoming local elections in June pose limited risk to this stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$9,155Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's commanding position stems from the Democratic Party's majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds supermajority required for an impeachment motion unattainable amid opposition from the People Power Party. Recent delays by the Legislation and Judiciary Committee—extending review of a petition exceeding 150,000 signatures to May 2028—have stalled public pressure, fueling trader consensus at 90.8% for no impeachment before 2027. The ruling party's push for special counsel bills targeting his pending criminal cases, including alleged fabricated indictments from his gubernatorial tenure, further shields him from legal escalation that could trigger impeachment. Absent major scandals or defections, upcoming local elections in June pose limited risk to this stability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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