South Korea’s constitution grants sitting presidents immunity from most criminal prosecutions, suspending all five ongoing trials against Lee Jae-myung—including corruption, election-law violations, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—shortly after his June 2025 inauguration. Courts have already postponed proceedings in each case, with the final active matter halted by July 2026. No new indictments or detention motions have emerged since he took office, and Lee continues to exercise full executive authority, including foreign-policy statements and domestic agenda-setting. Traders view these structural protections, combined with the Democratic Party’s legislative influence, as strong barriers to arrest before the 2027 threshold, though proceedings could resume after his term ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLee Jae-myung arrestato prima del 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrestato prima del 2027?
Sì
7% probabilità
$529,276 Vol.
$529,276 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$529,276 Vol.
$529,276 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s constitution grants sitting presidents immunity from most criminal prosecutions, suspending all five ongoing trials against Lee Jae-myung—including corruption, election-law violations, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—shortly after his June 2025 inauguration. Courts have already postponed proceedings in each case, with the final active matter halted by July 2026. No new indictments or detention motions have emerged since he took office, and Lee continues to exercise full executive authority, including foreign-policy statements and domestic agenda-setting. Traders view these structural protections, combined with the Democratic Party’s legislative influence, as strong barriers to arrest before the 2027 threshold, though proceedings could resume after his term ends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$529,276Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s constitution grants sitting presidents immunity from most criminal prosecutions, suspending all five ongoing trials against Lee Jae-myung—including corruption, election-law violations, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—shortly after his June 2025 inauguration. Courts have already postponed proceedings in each case, with the final active matter halted by July 2026. No new indictments or detention motions have emerged since he took office, and Lee continues to exercise full executive authority, including foreign-policy statements and domestic agenda-setting. Traders view these structural protections, combined with the Democratic Party’s legislative influence, as strong barriers to arrest before the 2027 threshold, though proceedings could resume after his term ends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$529,276Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s constitution grants sitting presidents immunity from most criminal prosecutions, suspending all five ongoing trials against Lee Jae-myung—including corruption, election-law violations, and alleged illegal remittances to North Korea—shortly after his June 2025 inauguration. Courts have already postponed proceedings in each case, with the final active matter halted by July 2026. No new indictments or detention motions have emerged since he took office, and Lee continues to exercise full executive authority, including foreign-policy statements and domestic agenda-setting. Traders view these structural protections, combined with the Democratic Party’s legislative influence, as strong barriers to arrest before the 2027 threshold, though proceedings could resume after his term ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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