**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, faces multiple ongoing criminal cases including election-law violations and corruption charges that predate his term.** Courts have indefinitely postponed key hearings, citing constitutional protections for sitting presidents and procedural fairness, with trials now expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. His Democratic Party majority in the National Assembly has advanced legislation and special-counsel proposals aimed at reviewing or withdrawing the indictments as potentially politically motivated. No arrest warrant has been executed or appears imminent in 2026. These institutional and political safeguards underpin traders’ strong consensus that arrest before 2027 remains unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$473,322 Vol.
$473,322 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$473,322 Vol.
$473,322 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, faces multiple ongoing criminal cases including election-law violations and corruption charges that predate his term.** Courts have indefinitely postponed key hearings, citing constitutional protections for sitting presidents and procedural fairness, with trials now expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. His Democratic Party majority in the National Assembly has advanced legislation and special-counsel proposals aimed at reviewing or withdrawing the indictments as potentially politically motivated. No arrest warrant has been executed or appears imminent in 2026. These institutional and political safeguards underpin traders’ strong consensus that arrest before 2027 remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$473,322Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, faces multiple ongoing criminal cases including election-law violations and corruption charges that predate his term.** Courts have indefinitely postponed key hearings, citing constitutional protections for sitting presidents and procedural fairness, with trials now expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. His Democratic Party majority in the National Assembly has advanced legislation and special-counsel proposals aimed at reviewing or withdrawing the indictments as potentially politically motivated. No arrest warrant has been executed or appears imminent in 2026. These institutional and political safeguards underpin traders’ strong consensus that arrest before 2027 remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$473,322Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, faces multiple ongoing criminal cases including election-law violations and corruption charges that predate his term.** Courts have indefinitely postponed key hearings, citing constitutional protections for sitting presidents and procedural fairness, with trials now expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. His Democratic Party majority in the National Assembly has advanced legislation and special-counsel proposals aimed at reviewing or withdrawing the indictments as potentially politically motivated. No arrest warrant has been executed or appears imminent in 2026. These institutional and political safeguards underpin traders’ strong consensus that arrest before 2027 remains unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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