Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the steepest pace in nearly two years—has anchored trader sentiment for South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation rate, driven by elevated petroleum costs amid Middle East tensions. With market-implied odds tightly clustered between the 2.1–2.3%, 2.4–2.6%, and 2.7–2.9% buckets, participants weigh the Bank of Korea’s signals for potential second-half rate adjustments against moderating core readings near 2.2% and revised institutional forecasts around 2.3–2.5%. Key swing factors include the trajectory of global energy prices, upcoming monthly CPI prints, and growth momentum that could either sustain or ease headline pressures through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoInflazione annuale della Corea del Sud 2026
3,0%+ 43%
2,4% a 2,6% 38.1%
1,5% a 1,7% 8%
<1,5% 5.8%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
<1,5%
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
8%
1,8% a 2,0%
30%
2,1% a 2,3%
38%
2,4% a 2,6%
38%
2,7% a 2,9%
35%
3,0%+
28%
3,0%+ 43%
2,4% a 2,6% 38.1%
1,5% a 1,7% 8%
<1,5% 5.8%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
<1,5%
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
8%
1,8% a 2,0%
30%
2,1% a 2,3%
38%
2,4% a 2,6%
38%
2,7% a 2,9%
35%
3,0%+
28%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the steepest pace in nearly two years—has anchored trader sentiment for South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation rate, driven by elevated petroleum costs amid Middle East tensions. With market-implied odds tightly clustered between the 2.1–2.3%, 2.4–2.6%, and 2.7–2.9% buckets, participants weigh the Bank of Korea’s signals for potential second-half rate adjustments against moderating core readings near 2.2% and revised institutional forecasts around 2.3–2.5%. Key swing factors include the trajectory of global energy prices, upcoming monthly CPI prints, and growth momentum that could either sustain or ease headline pressures through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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