South Korea’s July 2026 CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year—below the 3.0% consensus and down from June’s 3.2% peak—on softer transport and food components, keeping the full-year average clustered around the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% projection and the government’s revised 2.6% estimate. Core inflation, however, accelerated to a 2.5-year high, while the BOK’s July 25-basis-point hike to 2.75% and ongoing won volatility signal persistent upside risks from energy pass-through and wages. With three leading ranges (2.7–2.9%, 3.0%+, 2.4–2.6%) holding similar implied probabilities, traders are pricing in a closely contested outcome driven by the trajectory of remaining 2026 prints and any further monetary-policy shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoInflazione annuale della Corea del Sud 2026
2,7% a 2,9% 32.9%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% a 2,6% 27.5%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.8%
$31,212 Vol.
$31,212 Vol.
<1,5%
2%
1,5% a 1,7%
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
12%
2,4% a 2,6%
27%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
29%
2,7% a 2,9% 32.9%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% a 2,6% 27.5%
2,1% a 2,3% 11.8%
$31,212 Vol.
$31,212 Vol.
<1,5%
2%
1,5% a 1,7%
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
12%
2,4% a 2,6%
27%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s July 2026 CPI eased to 2.8% year-over-year—below the 3.0% consensus and down from June’s 3.2% peak—on softer transport and food components, keeping the full-year average clustered around the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% projection and the government’s revised 2.6% estimate. Core inflation, however, accelerated to a 2.5-year high, while the BOK’s July 25-basis-point hike to 2.75% and ongoing won volatility signal persistent upside risks from energy pass-through and wages. With three leading ranges (2.7–2.9%, 3.0%+, 2.4–2.6%) holding similar implied probabilities, traders are pricing in a closely contested outcome driven by the trajectory of remaining 2026 prints and any further monetary-policy shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti