Argentina's May monthly CPI market reflects trader consensus for continued disinflation, with 2.2–2.4% leading at 45.5% implied probability, closely trailed by ≤2.1% (30.0%) and 2.5–2.7% (24.5%). April's 2.6% print—released May 14, down from March's 3.4% and the first drop in 11 months—drove this positioning, slightly topping consensus forecasts of 2.5% amid President Milei's austerity measures and fiscal surplus. However, scheduled May increases in utilities (transport up to 18%, energy 2–6%, telecom 3.5%) and core CPI stability at 2.6% per central bank surveys introduce modest upside risks. Annual inflation eased to 32.4%, with year-end forecasts at 30.5%; INDEC's late-May release looms as the key catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2.2–2.4% 39%
2.5–2.7% 30%
3.1–3.3% 27%
4.0%+ 27%
NUOVO
$46,336 Vol.
NUOVO
$46,336 Vol.
11 giu 2026
≤2,1%
32%
2.2–2.4%
34%
2.5–2.7%
30%
2.8–3.0%
11%
3.1–3.3%
27%
3.4–3.6%
26%
3.7–3.9%
26%
4.0%+
27%
2.2–2.4% 39%
2.5–2.7% 30%
3.1–3.3% 27%
4.0%+ 27%
NUOVO
$46,336 Vol.
NUOVO
$46,336 Vol.
11 giu 2026
≤2,1%
$298 Vol.
32%
2.2–2.4%
$46,033 Vol.
34%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Vol.
30%
2.8–3.0%
$3 Vol.
11%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Vol.
27%
3.4–3.6%
$0 Vol.
26%
3.7–3.9%
$0 Vol.
26%
4.0%+
$1 Vol.
27%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's May monthly CPI market reflects trader consensus for continued disinflation, with 2.2–2.4% leading at 45.5% implied probability, closely trailed by ≤2.1% (30.0%) and 2.5–2.7% (24.5%). April's 2.6% print—released May 14, down from March's 3.4% and the first drop in 11 months—drove this positioning, slightly topping consensus forecasts of 2.5% amid President Milei's austerity measures and fiscal surplus. However, scheduled May increases in utilities (transport up to 18%, energy 2–6%, telecom 3.5%) and core CPI stability at 2.6% per central bank surveys introduce modest upside risks. Annual inflation eased to 32.4%, with year-end forecasts at 30.5%; INDEC's late-May release looms as the key catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$46,336Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's May monthly CPI market reflects trader consensus for continued disinflation, with 2.2–2.4% leading at 45.5% implied probability, closely trailed by ≤2.1% (30.0%) and 2.5–2.7% (24.5%). April's 2.6% print—released May 14, down from March's 3.4% and the first drop in 11 months—drove this positioning, slightly topping consensus forecasts of 2.5% amid President Milei's austerity measures and fiscal surplus. However, scheduled May increases in utilities (transport up to 18%, energy 2–6%, telecom 3.5%) and core CPI stability at 2.6% per central bank surveys introduce modest upside risks. Annual inflation eased to 32.4%, with year-end forecasts at 30.5%; INDEC's late-May release looms as the key catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$46,336Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's May monthly CPI market reflects trader consensus for continued disinflation, with 2.2–2.4% leading at 45.5% implied probability, closely trailed by ≤2.1% (30.0%) and 2.5–2.7% (24.5%). April's 2.6% print—released May 14, down from March's 3.4% and the first drop in 11 months—drove this positioning, slightly topping consensus forecasts of 2.5% amid President Milei's austerity measures and fiscal surplus. However, scheduled May increases in utilities (transport up to 18%, energy 2–6%, telecom 3.5%) and core CPI stability at 2.6% per central bank surveys introduce modest upside risks. Annual inflation eased to 32.4%, with year-end forecasts at 30.5%; INDEC's late-May release looms as the key catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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