The Bank of England's 87% implied probability of holding the 3.75% Bank Rate at its June 18 meeting reflects the Monetary Policy Committee's assessment that April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% remains above the 2% target, driven by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, while a softening labor market with regular earnings growth at a five-year low of 3.6% limits second-round risks. Recent statements from Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden on May 13, indicating no immediate need for hikes in June or July, have reinforced trader expectations for a hold despite one dissenting vote for a 25 basis point increase in April and upside inflation projections exceeding 3.5% later in 2026. Market-implied odds on a modest tightening have eased to 13% amid downgraded GDP forecasts to 0.8% and tighter financial conditions, with the next catalysts including May labor data and the June Monetary Policy Report.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDecisione della Banca d'Inghilterra a giugno?
Decisione della Banca d'Inghilterra a giugno?
Nessuna variazione 87%
Aumento di 25 punti base 13%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base <1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base <1%
$125,830 Vol.
$125,830 Vol.
18 giu 2026
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
<1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
<1%
Nessuna variazione
87%
Aumento di 25 punti base
13%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
<1%
Nessuna variazione 87%
Aumento di 25 punti base 13%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base <1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base <1%
$125,830 Vol.
$125,830 Vol.
18 giu 2026
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
$15,087 Vol.
<1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
$23,669 Vol.
<1%
Nessuna variazione
$29,404 Vol.
87%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$39,793 Vol.
13%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
$17,877 Vol.
<1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's 87% implied probability of holding the 3.75% Bank Rate at its June 18 meeting reflects the Monetary Policy Committee's assessment that April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% remains above the 2% target, driven by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, while a softening labor market with regular earnings growth at a five-year low of 3.6% limits second-round risks. Recent statements from Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden on May 13, indicating no immediate need for hikes in June or July, have reinforced trader expectations for a hold despite one dissenting vote for a 25 basis point increase in April and upside inflation projections exceeding 3.5% later in 2026. Market-implied odds on a modest tightening have eased to 13% amid downgraded GDP forecasts to 0.8% and tighter financial conditions, with the next catalysts including May labor data and the June Monetary Policy Report.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$125,830Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's 87% implied probability of holding the 3.75% Bank Rate at its June 18 meeting reflects the Monetary Policy Committee's assessment that April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% remains above the 2% target, driven by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, while a softening labor market with regular earnings growth at a five-year low of 3.6% limits second-round risks. Recent statements from Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden on May 13, indicating no immediate need for hikes in June or July, have reinforced trader expectations for a hold despite one dissenting vote for a 25 basis point increase in April and upside inflation projections exceeding 3.5% later in 2026. Market-implied odds on a modest tightening have eased to 13% amid downgraded GDP forecasts to 0.8% and tighter financial conditions, with the next catalysts including May labor data and the June Monetary Policy Report.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$125,830Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England's 87% implied probability of holding the 3.75% Bank Rate at its June 18 meeting reflects the Monetary Policy Committee's assessment that April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% remains above the 2% target, driven by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, while a softening labor market with regular earnings growth at a five-year low of 3.6% limits second-round risks. Recent statements from Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden on May 13, indicating no immediate need for hikes in June or July, have reinforced trader expectations for a hold despite one dissenting vote for a 25 basis point increase in April and upside inflation projections exceeding 3.5% later in 2026. Market-implied odds on a modest tightening have eased to 13% amid downgraded GDP forecasts to 0.8% and tighter financial conditions, with the next catalysts including May labor data and the June Monetary Policy Report.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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