Traders assign a near-certain 98% probability that Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton will not divorce by June 30 due to the complete absence of any divorce petition, separation agreement, or credible public indication of marital dissolution. The couple’s marriage, spanning more than fifty years, continues without recent filings in Arkansas or New York courts or statements from either party signaling change. Their advanced ages and ongoing joint public appearances further reduce the likelihood of rapid legal action. The short remaining window makes completion of divorce proceedings structurally difficult absent prior filings. Only an unforeseen court document or verified announcement in the next six weeks could alter this assessment.