Supporters of California's proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth exceeding $1 billion submitted more than 1.55 million signatures in late April 2026, exceeding the roughly 875,000 required to qualify the citizen-initiated measure for the November 2026 ballot. The initiative, backed by healthcare unions and framed to offset projected funding shortfalls in Medi-Cal and related programs, cleared the attorney general review process last year and now awaits official certification. Opposition groups have begun raising funds to challenge the proposal, yet the substantial over-submission of verified signatures has driven trader consensus toward an 87.5% implied probability that the measure will reach voters. Certification remains the final procedural hurdle before placement on the ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$130,579 Vol.
$130,579 Vol.
25 giu 2026
Sì
$130,579 Vol.
$130,579 Vol.
25 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Supporters of California's proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth exceeding $1 billion submitted more than 1.55 million signatures in late April 2026, exceeding the roughly 875,000 required to qualify the citizen-initiated measure for the November 2026 ballot. The initiative, backed by healthcare unions and framed to offset projected funding shortfalls in Medi-Cal and related programs, cleared the attorney general review process last year and now awaits official certification. Opposition groups have begun raising funds to challenge the proposal, yet the substantial over-submission of verified signatures has driven trader consensus toward an 87.5% implied probability that the measure will reach voters. Certification remains the final procedural hurdle before placement on the ballot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Volume
$130,579Data di fine
25 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Supporters of California's proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth exceeding $1 billion submitted more than 1.55 million signatures in late April 2026, exceeding the roughly 875,000 required to qualify the citizen-initiated measure for the November 2026 ballot. The initiative, backed by healthcare unions and framed to offset projected funding shortfalls in Medi-Cal and related programs, cleared the attorney general review process last year and now awaits official certification. Opposition groups have begun raising funds to challenge the proposal, yet the substantial over-submission of verified signatures has driven trader consensus toward an 87.5% implied probability that the measure will reach voters. Certification remains the final procedural hurdle before placement on the ballot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$130,579Data di fine
25 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supporters of California's proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth exceeding $1 billion submitted more than 1.55 million signatures in late April 2026, exceeding the roughly 875,000 required to qualify the citizen-initiated measure for the November 2026 ballot. The initiative, backed by healthcare unions and framed to offset projected funding shortfalls in Medi-Cal and related programs, cleared the attorney general review process last year and now awaits official certification. Opposition groups have begun raising funds to challenge the proposal, yet the substantial over-submission of verified signatures has driven trader consensus toward an 87.5% implied probability that the measure will reach voters. Certification remains the final procedural hurdle before placement on the ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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