Recent polling averages show Iván Cepeda Castro leading the May 31 first-round vote with 37-44 percent but falling short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella holds a slim advantage over Paloma Valencia in the race for second place. This pattern, consistent across multiple surveys in the past month, underpins the market's strong consensus on the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing advancing to the June 21 runoff. De la Espriella's aggressive security platform has sustained his polling position despite recent controversy over sexist remarks and the killing of two campaign staffers, factors that have not yet shifted voter intention enough to favor Valencia. With the first round two weeks away, any late consolidation among right-leaning voters remains the main variable that could alter the current ordering.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.8%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,890 Vol.
$12,890 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
84%
1st Round Outright Winner
12%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
4%
Other
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 84%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.8%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 4%
Other <1%
$12,890 Vol.
$12,890 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$4,330 Vol.
84%
1st Round Outright Winner
$2,319 Vol.
12%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,693 Vol.
4%
Other
$1,893 Vol.
1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,655 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages show Iván Cepeda Castro leading the May 31 first-round vote with 37-44 percent but falling short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella holds a slim advantage over Paloma Valencia in the race for second place. This pattern, consistent across multiple surveys in the past month, underpins the market's strong consensus on the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing advancing to the June 21 runoff. De la Espriella's aggressive security platform has sustained his polling position despite recent controversy over sexist remarks and the killing of two campaign staffers, factors that have not yet shifted voter intention enough to favor Valencia. With the first round two weeks away, any late consolidation among right-leaning voters remains the main variable that could alter the current ordering.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volume
$12,890Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages show Iván Cepeda Castro leading the May 31 first-round vote with 37-44 percent but falling short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella holds a slim advantage over Paloma Valencia in the race for second place. This pattern, consistent across multiple surveys in the past month, underpins the market's strong consensus on the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing advancing to the June 21 runoff. De la Espriella's aggressive security platform has sustained his polling position despite recent controversy over sexist remarks and the killing of two campaign staffers, factors that have not yet shifted voter intention enough to favor Valencia. With the first round two weeks away, any late consolidation among right-leaning voters remains the main variable that could alter the current ordering.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$12,890Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages show Iván Cepeda Castro leading the May 31 first-round vote with 37-44 percent but falling short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella holds a slim advantage over Paloma Valencia in the race for second place. This pattern, consistent across multiple surveys in the past month, underpins the market's strong consensus on the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing advancing to the June 21 runoff. De la Espriella's aggressive security platform has sustained his polling position despite recent controversy over sexist remarks and the killing of two campaign staffers, factors that have not yet shifted voter intention enough to favor Valencia. With the first round two weeks away, any late consolidation among right-leaning voters remains the main variable that could alter the current ordering.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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