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Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 19%

Iván Cepeda Castro 13.9%

Mauricio Cárdenas <1%

Polymarket

$89,193 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 19%

Iván Cepeda Castro 13.9%

Mauricio Cárdenas <1%

Polymarket

$89,193 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,481 Vol.

71%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,260 Vol.

19%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,635 Vol.

14%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,038 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,653 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,200 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,849 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,530 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,496 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$4,877 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,531 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,151 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and GAD3 through late April 2026 position left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round leader ahead of the May 31 vote, with support in the high 30s to low 40s percent. Far-right outsider Abelardo de la Espriella has held a consistent edge over center-right Democratic Center nominee Paloma Valencia for second place, drawing stronger backing among conservative voters focused on security and crime reduction. Valencia’s gains have narrowed the gap in some surveys but have not displaced de la Espriella from the runoff berth in most aggregates. With over a dozen minor candidates polling below 5 percent, the market’s 70.5 percent pricing on de la Espriella for second reflects trader consensus that the right-wing vote remains consolidated enough behind him to secure that slot on election night.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$89,193
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and GAD3 through late April 2026 position left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda as the clear first-round leader ahead of the May 31 vote, with support in the high 30s to low 40s percent. Far-right outsider Abelardo de la Espriella has held a consistent edge over center-right Democratic Center nominee Paloma Valencia for second place, drawing stronger backing among conservative voters focused on security and crime reduction. Valencia’s gains have narrowed the gap in some surveys but have not displaced de la Espriella from the runoff berth in most aggregates. With over a dozen minor candidates polling below 5 percent, the market’s 70.5 percent pricing on de la Espriella for second reflects trader consensus that the right-wing vote remains consolidated enough behind him to secure that slot on election night.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$89,193
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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"Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Abelardo de la Espriella" a 71%, seguito da "Paloma Valencia" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 71¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto" ha generato $89.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto" è "Abelardo de la Espriella" a 71%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 71% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Paloma Valencia" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.