Recent polling from late April through mid-May shows Iván Cepeda leading the May 31 first round with 37-44 percent support but remaining well short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella has edged ahead of Paloma Valencia in the battle for second place across surveys such as AtlasIntel and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica. This momentum stems from de la Espriella consolidating right-wing and security-focused voters, narrowing the conservative field and reducing Valencia’s path to the runoff. Traders have therefore priced the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing as the dominant outcome ahead of the June 21 second round, with room for late shifts among the roughly 15 percent of undecided voters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 81%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 12%
1st Round Outright Winner 5.8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 mag 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
81%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
12%
1st Round Outright Winner
6%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 81%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 12%
1st Round Outright Winner 5.8%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 mag 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$3,172 Vol.
81%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,213 Vol.
12%
1st Round Outright Winner
$1,494 Vol.
6%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
Other
$966 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling from late April through mid-May shows Iván Cepeda leading the May 31 first round with 37-44 percent support but remaining well short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella has edged ahead of Paloma Valencia in the battle for second place across surveys such as AtlasIntel and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica. This momentum stems from de la Espriella consolidating right-wing and security-focused voters, narrowing the conservative field and reducing Valencia’s path to the runoff. Traders have therefore priced the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing as the dominant outcome ahead of the June 21 second round, with room for late shifts among the roughly 15 percent of undecided voters.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volume
$8,785Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling from late April through mid-May shows Iván Cepeda leading the May 31 first round with 37-44 percent support but remaining well short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella has edged ahead of Paloma Valencia in the battle for second place across surveys such as AtlasIntel and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica. This momentum stems from de la Espriella consolidating right-wing and security-focused voters, narrowing the conservative field and reducing Valencia’s path to the runoff. Traders have therefore priced the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing as the dominant outcome ahead of the June 21 second round, with room for late shifts among the roughly 15 percent of undecided voters.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$8,785Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late April through mid-May shows Iván Cepeda leading the May 31 first round with 37-44 percent support but remaining well short of an outright majority, while Abelardo de la Espriella has edged ahead of Paloma Valencia in the battle for second place across surveys such as AtlasIntel and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica. This momentum stems from de la Espriella consolidating right-wing and security-focused voters, narrowing the conservative field and reducing Valencia’s path to the runoff. Traders have therefore priced the Cepeda-de la Espriella pairing as the dominant outcome ahead of the June 21 second round, with room for late shifts among the roughly 15 percent of undecided voters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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