Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 140-159 X posts by Elon Musk from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5 noon ET at 100% implied probability, anchored by the official xtracker.polymarket.com tally of 158 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts as of 11:51 AM EST today, with the window now expired. Initial low output—mere 5 posts on April 28 amid OpenAI trial court appearances—gave way to a mid-week surge of 45 on May 3 fueled by viral tech and cultural engagements, tapering to 12 on May 4 and minimal May 5 activity. Backed by $10.7M volume, this reflects traders' trust in Musk's trackable social media cadence. A slim upset to 160-179 hinges on rare tracker oversights or disputed edge-case posts, improbable given historical patterns and prompt resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$10,842,855 Vol.
$10,842,855 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
Yes
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$10,842,855 Vol.
$10,842,855 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
Yes
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 140-159 X posts by Elon Musk from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5 noon ET at 100% implied probability, anchored by the official xtracker.polymarket.com tally of 158 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts as of 11:51 AM EST today, with the window now expired. Initial low output—mere 5 posts on April 28 amid OpenAI trial court appearances—gave way to a mid-week surge of 45 on May 3 fueled by viral tech and cultural engagements, tapering to 12 on May 4 and minimal May 5 activity. Backed by $10.7M volume, this reflects traders' trust in Musk's trackable social media cadence. A slim upset to 160-179 hinges on rare tracker oversights or disputed edge-case posts, improbable given historical patterns and prompt resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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