Trader consensus has coalesced around the 200-219 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established pattern of roughly 25-30 posts per day during periods of high engagement on X. Recent platform milestones, including X crossing one billion downloads, have fueled a steady stream of replies and commentary on topics ranging from Tesla’s Full Self-Driving safety data to cultural debates, sustaining momentum without a major spike or lull. With the week nearly complete, the market-implied odds underscore how consistent daily interaction and real-time reactions continue to anchor expectations in this social media volume contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato200-219 41.9%
180-199 31.4%
220-239 22.8%
240-259 3.6%
$9,831,128 Vol.
$9,831,128 Vol.
19 mag 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
31%
200-219
42%
220-239
23%
240-259
4%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 41.9%
180-199 31.4%
220-239 22.8%
240-259 3.6%
$9,831,128 Vol.
$9,831,128 Vol.
19 mag 2026
140-159
$719,993 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$502,276 Vol.
2%
180-199
$393,804 Vol.
31%
200-219
$377,807 Vol.
42%
220-239
$418,094 Vol.
23%
240-259
$322,100 Vol.
4%
260-279
$306,474 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$281,837 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$331,056 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,255 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,804 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,329 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$550,382 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,847 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,158 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,054 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has coalesced around the 200-219 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established pattern of roughly 25-30 posts per day during periods of high engagement on X. Recent platform milestones, including X crossing one billion downloads, have fueled a steady stream of replies and commentary on topics ranging from Tesla’s Full Self-Driving safety data to cultural debates, sustaining momentum without a major spike or lull. With the week nearly complete, the market-implied odds underscore how consistent daily interaction and real-time reactions continue to anchor expectations in this social media volume contest.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,831,128Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has coalesced around the 200-219 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established pattern of roughly 25-30 posts per day during periods of high engagement on X. Recent platform milestones, including X crossing one billion downloads, have fueled a steady stream of replies and commentary on topics ranging from Tesla’s Full Self-Driving safety data to cultural debates, sustaining momentum without a major spike or lull. With the week nearly complete, the market-implied odds underscore how consistent daily interaction and real-time reactions continue to anchor expectations in this social media volume contest.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,831,128Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has coalesced around the 200-219 tweet range as the most likely outcome for Elon Musk’s activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established pattern of roughly 25-30 posts per day during periods of high engagement on X. Recent platform milestones, including X crossing one billion downloads, have fueled a steady stream of replies and commentary on topics ranging from Tesla’s Full Self-Driving safety data to cultural debates, sustaining momentum without a major spike or lull. With the week nearly complete, the market-implied odds underscore how consistent daily interaction and real-time reactions continue to anchor expectations in this social media volume contest.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti