Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 180–199 range capturing the strongest implied probability at 46.6 percent. Steady daily output—often exceeding two dozen posts—reflects his pattern of real-time commentary on AI developments, cultural debates, and platform milestones, including recent exchanges around simulation theory, race-swapping in entertainment, and free-speech issues in the UK. This consistent activity, visible across May 16–17, aligns with historical weekly totals and leaves little room for sharp deviations unless major breaking news triggers an unusual surge. With only two days remaining, momentum favors the current frontrunner unless an unforeseen event disrupts the cadence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 45.3%
200-219 34.6%
220-239 11.9%
160-179 4.0%
$9,681,933 Vol.
$9,681,933 Vol.
19 mag 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
4%
180-199
45%
200-219
35%
220-239
12%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 45.3%
200-219 34.6%
220-239 11.9%
160-179 4.0%
$9,681,933 Vol.
$9,681,933 Vol.
19 mag 2026
140-159
$711,052 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$476,159 Vol.
4%
180-199
$371,565 Vol.
45%
200-219
$363,049 Vol.
35%
220-239
$384,510 Vol.
12%
240-259
$310,404 Vol.
2%
260-279
$295,363 Vol.
1%
280-299
$271,285 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$325,337 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,255 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,804 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,329 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$544,970 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,811 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,158 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,054 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 180–199 range capturing the strongest implied probability at 46.6 percent. Steady daily output—often exceeding two dozen posts—reflects his pattern of real-time commentary on AI developments, cultural debates, and platform milestones, including recent exchanges around simulation theory, race-swapping in entertainment, and free-speech issues in the UK. This consistent activity, visible across May 16–17, aligns with historical weekly totals and leaves little room for sharp deviations unless major breaking news triggers an unusual surge. With only two days remaining, momentum favors the current frontrunner unless an unforeseen event disrupts the cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,681,933Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 180–199 range capturing the strongest implied probability at 46.6 percent. Steady daily output—often exceeding two dozen posts—reflects his pattern of real-time commentary on AI developments, cultural debates, and platform milestones, including recent exchanges around simulation theory, race-swapping in entertainment, and free-speech issues in the UK. This consistent activity, visible across May 16–17, aligns with historical weekly totals and leaves little room for sharp deviations unless major breaking news triggers an unusual surge. With only two days remaining, momentum favors the current frontrunner unless an unforeseen event disrupts the cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,681,933Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 180–199 range capturing the strongest implied probability at 46.6 percent. Steady daily output—often exceeding two dozen posts—reflects his pattern of real-time commentary on AI developments, cultural debates, and platform milestones, including recent exchanges around simulation theory, race-swapping in entertainment, and free-speech issues in the UK. This consistent activity, visible across May 16–17, aligns with historical weekly totals and leaves little room for sharp deviations unless major breaking news triggers an unusual surge. With only two days remaining, momentum favors the current frontrunner unless an unforeseen event disrupts the cadence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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