Trader sentiment positions the 180-199 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established weekly posting patterns during routine periods. Musk’s output typically averages 25-30 posts daily when focused on Tesla and SpaceX updates, cultural commentary, and platform engagement without major breaking events. Recent days have maintained this steady cadence, with no significant spikes from high-profile announcements or controversies to shift expectations toward the 200-plus brackets. As the period closes on May 19, final tallies could still adjust slightly, but the current market-implied odds align closely with historical non-event baselines for the platform’s busiest account.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 46.0%
200-219 30.9%
220-239 11.1%
160-179 5.8%
$9,730,853 Vol.
$9,730,853 Vol.
19 mag 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
6%
180-199
46%
200-219
31%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.0%
200-219 30.9%
220-239 11.1%
160-179 5.8%
$9,730,853 Vol.
$9,730,853 Vol.
19 mag 2026
140-159
$719,451 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$488,514 Vol.
6%
180-199
$376,404 Vol.
46%
200-219
$365,326 Vol.
31%
220-239
$390,719 Vol.
11%
240-259
$311,366 Vol.
2%
260-279
$295,548 Vol.
1%
280-299
$276,672 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$327,454 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$406,255 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$431,349 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$416,804 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$400,329 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$545,127 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$157,811 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$82,158 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$67,054 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
500+
$241,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment positions the 180-199 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established weekly posting patterns during routine periods. Musk’s output typically averages 25-30 posts daily when focused on Tesla and SpaceX updates, cultural commentary, and platform engagement without major breaking events. Recent days have maintained this steady cadence, with no significant spikes from high-profile announcements or controversies to shift expectations toward the 200-plus brackets. As the period closes on May 19, final tallies could still adjust slightly, but the current market-implied odds align closely with historical non-event baselines for the platform’s busiest account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,730,853Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment positions the 180-199 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established weekly posting patterns during routine periods. Musk’s output typically averages 25-30 posts daily when focused on Tesla and SpaceX updates, cultural commentary, and platform engagement without major breaking events. Recent days have maintained this steady cadence, with no significant spikes from high-profile announcements or controversies to shift expectations toward the 200-plus brackets. As the period closes on May 19, final tallies could still adjust slightly, but the current market-implied odds align closely with historical non-event baselines for the platform’s busiest account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,730,853Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader sentiment positions the 180-199 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 12-19, reflecting his established weekly posting patterns during routine periods. Musk’s output typically averages 25-30 posts daily when focused on Tesla and SpaceX updates, cultural commentary, and platform engagement without major breaking events. Recent days have maintained this steady cadence, with no significant spikes from high-profile announcements or controversies to shift expectations toward the 200-plus brackets. As the period closes on May 19, final tallies could still adjust slightly, but the current market-implied odds align closely with historical non-event baselines for the platform’s busiest account.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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