Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 22%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.3%
140-159 12%
$4,350,013 Vol.
$4,350,013 Vol.
22 mag 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
12%
160-179
20%
180-199
22%
200-219
17%
220-239
10%
240-259
7%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 22%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.3%
140-159 12%
$4,350,013 Vol.
$4,350,013 Vol.
22 mag 2026
60-79
$260,849 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$279,209 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$242,239 Vol.
1%
120-139
$179,990 Vol.
3%
140-159
$160,200 Vol.
12%
160-179
$132,554 Vol.
20%
180-199
$113,880 Vol.
22%
200-219
$160,918 Vol.
17%
220-239
$154,860 Vol.
10%
240-259
$116,495 Vol.
7%
260-279
$127,972 Vol.
3%
280-299
$118,752 Vol.
2%
300-319
$143,956 Vol.
2%
320-339
$123,654 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$145,991 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$136,455 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$161,140 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$168,844 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$238,020 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 Vol.
<1%
500+
$269,821 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,350,013Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,350,013Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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