Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 23%
200-219 19.9%
160-179 17%
220-239 12.8%
$4,380,828 Vol.
$4,380,828 Vol.
22 mag 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
8%
160-179
17%
180-199
23%
200-219
20%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 23%
200-219 19.9%
160-179 17%
220-239 12.8%
$4,380,828 Vol.
$4,380,828 Vol.
22 mag 2026
60-79
$260,849 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$282,843 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$248,930 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$181,848 Vol.
1%
140-159
$170,070 Vol.
8%
160-179
$136,766 Vol.
17%
180-199
$114,121 Vol.
23%
200-219
$161,188 Vol.
20%
220-239
$156,625 Vol.
13%
240-259
$117,165 Vol.
8%
260-279
$128,206 Vol.
3%
280-299
$119,208 Vol.
2%
300-319
$144,700 Vol.
1%
320-339
$124,149 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$146,191 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$136,655 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$161,140 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$168,844 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$238,020 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 Vol.
<1%
500+
$269,821 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,380,828Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,380,828Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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