Elon Musk’s typical daily posting rhythm on X is shaping trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range this weekend. Recent patterns show steady output of 15-20 posts per day centered on Tesla production updates, SpaceX launches, and occasional policy commentary, with no major breaking events or viral threads pushing volume higher during the May 16-18 window. Historical data from comparable quiet periods reinforces the market’s heavy weighting toward moderate activity, while the slim odds on both lower and higher brackets reflect the low probability of sudden spikes or complete lulls absent a high-impact announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 77%
65-89 23%
90-114 1.1%
<40 <1%
$798,636 Vol.
$798,636 Vol.
18 mag 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
77%
65-89
23%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 77%
65-89 23%
90-114 1.1%
<40 <1%
$798,636 Vol.
$798,636 Vol.
18 mag 2026
<40
$303,386 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$70,841 Vol.
77%
65-89
$72,600 Vol.
23%
90-114
$96,701 Vol.
1%
115-139
$68,943 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,110 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical daily posting rhythm on X is shaping trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range this weekend. Recent patterns show steady output of 15-20 posts per day centered on Tesla production updates, SpaceX launches, and occasional policy commentary, with no major breaking events or viral threads pushing volume higher during the May 16-18 window. Historical data from comparable quiet periods reinforces the market’s heavy weighting toward moderate activity, while the slim odds on both lower and higher brackets reflect the low probability of sudden spikes or complete lulls absent a high-impact announcement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$798,636Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical daily posting rhythm on X is shaping trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range this weekend. Recent patterns show steady output of 15-20 posts per day centered on Tesla production updates, SpaceX launches, and occasional policy commentary, with no major breaking events or viral threads pushing volume higher during the May 16-18 window. Historical data from comparable quiet periods reinforces the market’s heavy weighting toward moderate activity, while the slim odds on both lower and higher brackets reflect the low probability of sudden spikes or complete lulls absent a high-impact announcement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$798,636Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical daily posting rhythm on X is shaping trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range this weekend. Recent patterns show steady output of 15-20 posts per day centered on Tesla production updates, SpaceX launches, and occasional policy commentary, with no major breaking events or viral threads pushing volume higher during the May 16-18 window. Historical data from comparable quiet periods reinforces the market’s heavy weighting toward moderate activity, while the slim odds on both lower and higher brackets reflect the low probability of sudden spikes or complete lulls absent a high-impact announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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