Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 75%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$856,816 Vol.
$856,816 Vol.
18 mag 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
75%
65-89
22%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 75%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$856,816 Vol.
$856,816 Vol.
18 mag 2026
<40
$343,264 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$77,505 Vol.
75%
65-89
$81,335 Vol.
22%
90-114
$100,381 Vol.
1%
115-139
$69,014 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$856,816Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$856,816Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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