Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk across May 18-20 because recent daily posting volumes have settled into a moderate rhythm of 15-25 posts, driven by routine company updates rather than major announcements. This pattern aligns with stretches when no new Tesla deliveries, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies dominate his feed, keeping totals well below the spikes seen during product events. The current market-implied odds capture this steady pace, with the next tier at 65-89 reflecting only a modest uptick if unexpected commentary emerges. Any last-minute industry news or viral moment could still push volume higher before the window closes, underscoring how quickly these short-term counts can shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 56%
65-89 23%
meno di 40 17%
90-114 5%
NUOVO
$45,336 Vol.
NUOVO
$45,336 Vol.
20 mag 2026
meno di 40
17%
40-64
56%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 23%
meno di 40 17%
90-114 5%
NUOVO
$45,336 Vol.
NUOVO
$45,336 Vol.
20 mag 2026
meno di 40
$2,677 Vol.
17%
40-64
$4,417 Vol.
56%
65-89
$3,069 Vol.
23%
90-114
$5,661 Vol.
5%
115-139
$4,602 Vol.
1%
140-164
$2,731 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,557 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$4,396 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$6,526 Vol.
<1%
240+
$6,816 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk across May 18-20 because recent daily posting volumes have settled into a moderate rhythm of 15-25 posts, driven by routine company updates rather than major announcements. This pattern aligns with stretches when no new Tesla deliveries, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies dominate his feed, keeping totals well below the spikes seen during product events. The current market-implied odds capture this steady pace, with the next tier at 65-89 reflecting only a modest uptick if unexpected commentary emerges. Any last-minute industry news or viral moment could still push volume higher before the window closes, underscoring how quickly these short-term counts can shift.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$45,336Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk across May 18-20 because recent daily posting volumes have settled into a moderate rhythm of 15-25 posts, driven by routine company updates rather than major announcements. This pattern aligns with stretches when no new Tesla deliveries, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies dominate his feed, keeping totals well below the spikes seen during product events. The current market-implied odds capture this steady pace, with the next tier at 65-89 reflecting only a modest uptick if unexpected commentary emerges. Any last-minute industry news or viral moment could still push volume higher before the window closes, underscoring how quickly these short-term counts can shift.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$45,336Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk across May 18-20 because recent daily posting volumes have settled into a moderate rhythm of 15-25 posts, driven by routine company updates rather than major announcements. This pattern aligns with stretches when no new Tesla deliveries, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies dominate his feed, keeping totals well below the spikes seen during product events. The current market-implied odds capture this steady pace, with the next tier at 65-89 reflecting only a modest uptick if unexpected commentary emerges. Any last-minute industry news or viral moment could still push volume higher before the window closes, underscoring how quickly these short-term counts can shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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