Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest outcome for Elon Musk’s posting activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his recent daily pace of roughly 20 posts, shaped by steady commentary on Tesla updates, xAI progress, and real-time cultural or political developments. This bracket captures the moderate-to-high output that has defined his rhythm in recent weeks without assuming an unusual surge. The market’s pricing reflects the platform’s established pattern of consistent engagement rather than any single catalyst, with the short three-day window leaving room for modest fluctuations driven by industry announcements or breaking stories. Upcoming chart updates and any major SpaceX or regulatory news could nudge volume higher, but the current consensus favors the middle ground based on verified historical velocity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 53%
65-89 27%
meno di 40 17%
90-114 6%
NUOVO
$39,353 Vol.
NUOVO
$39,353 Vol.
20 mag 2026
meno di 40
17%
40-64
53%
65-89
27%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 53%
65-89 27%
meno di 40 17%
90-114 6%
NUOVO
$39,353 Vol.
NUOVO
$39,353 Vol.
20 mag 2026
meno di 40
$2,159 Vol.
17%
40-64
$3,543 Vol.
53%
65-89
$2,518 Vol.
27%
90-114
$5,204 Vol.
6%
115-139
$3,760 Vol.
1%
140-164
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,005 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,844 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,974 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,763 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest outcome for Elon Musk’s posting activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his recent daily pace of roughly 20 posts, shaped by steady commentary on Tesla updates, xAI progress, and real-time cultural or political developments. This bracket captures the moderate-to-high output that has defined his rhythm in recent weeks without assuming an unusual surge. The market’s pricing reflects the platform’s established pattern of consistent engagement rather than any single catalyst, with the short three-day window leaving room for modest fluctuations driven by industry announcements or breaking stories. Upcoming chart updates and any major SpaceX or regulatory news could nudge volume higher, but the current consensus favors the middle ground based on verified historical velocity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$39,353Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest outcome for Elon Musk’s posting activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his recent daily pace of roughly 20 posts, shaped by steady commentary on Tesla updates, xAI progress, and real-time cultural or political developments. This bracket captures the moderate-to-high output that has defined his rhythm in recent weeks without assuming an unusual surge. The market’s pricing reflects the platform’s established pattern of consistent engagement rather than any single catalyst, with the short three-day window leaving room for modest fluctuations driven by industry announcements or breaking stories. Upcoming chart updates and any major SpaceX or regulatory news could nudge volume higher, but the current consensus favors the middle ground based on verified historical velocity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$39,353Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest outcome for Elon Musk’s posting activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his recent daily pace of roughly 20 posts, shaped by steady commentary on Tesla updates, xAI progress, and real-time cultural or political developments. This bracket captures the moderate-to-high output that has defined his rhythm in recent weeks without assuming an unusual surge. The market’s pricing reflects the platform’s established pattern of consistent engagement rather than any single catalyst, with the short three-day window leaving room for modest fluctuations driven by industry announcements or breaking stories. Upcoming chart updates and any major SpaceX or regulatory news could nudge volume higher, but the current consensus favors the middle ground based on verified historical velocity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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