Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato840-879 11.4%
800-839 10.4%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,152,126 Vol.
$3,152,126 Vol.
1 giu 2026
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
4%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
10%
840-879
11%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.4%
800-839 10.4%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,152,126 Vol.
$3,152,126 Vol.
1 giu 2026
340-359
$69,472 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$55,291 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$58,220 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$56,871 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$43,409 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$54,448 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$63,303 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$58,581 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$64,925 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$53,161 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$45,810 Vol.
1%
560-579
$43,735 Vol.
1%
580-599
$49,462 Vol.
1%
600-619
$43,146 Vol.
1%
620-639
$39,705 Vol.
1%
640-659
$44,359 Vol.
2%
660-679
$38,250 Vol.
2%
680-699
$35,141 Vol.
4%
700-719
$46,112 Vol.
4%
720-739
$48,036 Vol.
4%
740-759
$39,927 Vol.
5%
760-779
$41,056 Vol.
5%
780-799
$43,977 Vol.
7%
800-839
$46,114 Vol.
10%
840-879
$36,714 Vol.
11%
880-919
$40,160 Vol.
9%
920-959
$37,623 Vol.
10%
960-999
$35,340 Vol.
8%
1000-1039
$36,401 Vol.
5%
1040-1079
$33,379 Vol.
4%
1080-1119
$40,136 Vol.
2%
1120-1159
$50,723 Vol.
1%
1160-1199
$56,655 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$55,495 Vol.
<1%
1240-1279
$67,489 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$59,982 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$59,746 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$44,609 Vol.
<1%
1400-1439
$74,304 Vol.
<1%
1440-1479
$45,365 Vol.
<1%
1480-1519
$25,045 Vol.
<1%
1520-1559
$27,191 Vol.
<1%
1560-1599
$32,981 Vol.
<1%
1600-1679
$39,619 Vol.
<1%
1680-1759
$40,902 Vol.
<1%
1760-1839
$34,463 Vol.
<1%
1840-1919
$27,564 Vol.
<1%
1920-1999
$62,382 Vol.
<1%
2000+
$292,699 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,152,126Data di fine
1 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,152,126Data di fine
1 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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