Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times (48.1% implied probability) or 120-139 times (30.9%) from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his steady mid-teens daily average of qualifying X posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. As of May 13, trackers log 43 posts over roughly five days elapsed, with recent 48-hour surges to 15-23 per day amid cultural commentary on Hollywood hypocrisy, immigration, and Oscars eligibility without viral spikes from Tesla, SpaceX, or politics. No major catalysts in the past day have altered momentum; weekend activity (May 14-15) remains a key variable, as historical patterns show lighter cycles absent breaking news or engagements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato100-119 47.0%
120-139 31.7%
80-99 11.6%
140-159 7.4%
$7,377,218 Vol.
$7,377,218 Vol.
15 mag 2026
80-99
12%
100-119
47%
120-139
32%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
100-119 47.0%
120-139 31.7%
80-99 11.6%
140-159 7.4%
$7,377,218 Vol.
$7,377,218 Vol.
15 mag 2026
80-99
$974,159 Vol.
12%
100-119
$352,427 Vol.
47%
120-139
$360,971 Vol.
32%
140-159
$296,955 Vol.
7%
160-179
$272,133 Vol.
2%
180-199
$225,097 Vol.
1%
200-219
$261,188 Vol.
<1%
220-239
$220,882 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$307,318 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$255,455 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$204,633 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$206,664 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$192,775 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$63,239 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$68,264 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$62,389 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$58,683 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$118,926 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$91,560 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$117,006 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$86,800 Vol.
<1%
500+
$183,686 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times (48.1% implied probability) or 120-139 times (30.9%) from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his steady mid-teens daily average of qualifying X posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. As of May 13, trackers log 43 posts over roughly five days elapsed, with recent 48-hour surges to 15-23 per day amid cultural commentary on Hollywood hypocrisy, immigration, and Oscars eligibility without viral spikes from Tesla, SpaceX, or politics. No major catalysts in the past day have altered momentum; weekend activity (May 14-15) remains a key variable, as historical patterns show lighter cycles absent breaking news or engagements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,377,218Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times (48.1% implied probability) or 120-139 times (30.9%) from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his steady mid-teens daily average of qualifying X posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. As of May 13, trackers log 43 posts over roughly five days elapsed, with recent 48-hour surges to 15-23 per day amid cultural commentary on Hollywood hypocrisy, immigration, and Oscars eligibility without viral spikes from Tesla, SpaceX, or politics. No major catalysts in the past day have altered momentum; weekend activity (May 14-15) remains a key variable, as historical patterns show lighter cycles absent breaking news or engagements.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,377,218Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times (48.1% implied probability) or 120-139 times (30.9%) from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, reflecting his steady mid-teens daily average of qualifying X posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts, excluding most replies. As of May 13, trackers log 43 posts over roughly five days elapsed, with recent 48-hour surges to 15-23 per day amid cultural commentary on Hollywood hypocrisy, immigration, and Oscars eligibility without viral spikes from Tesla, SpaceX, or politics. No major catalysts in the past day have altered momentum; weekend activity (May 14-15) remains a key variable, as historical patterns show lighter cycles absent breaking news or engagements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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