Ongoing investigations into former Representative Eric Swalwell's sexual misconduct allegations, opened by the Department of Justice along with the Los Angeles and Manhattan district attorneys in mid-April 2026, have not produced formal charges. Swalwell resigned from Congress that month after multiple accusers came forward, prompting these probes and separate reviews of campaign spending practices. With only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, the procedural steps required for an indictment render swift action improbable. Traders reflect this timeline reality in the 87.5% implied probability for no charges, consistent with typical federal and state case timelines where evidence gathering and review extend well beyond initial complaints.