Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Eurovision 2026
Vincitore Eurovision 2026
Finlandia 43.9%
Grecia 14.0%
Danimarca 12.5%
Australia 5.7%
$157,870,679 Vol.
$157,870,679 Vol.
16 mag 2026
Finlandia
44%
Grecia
14%
Danimarca
13%
Australia
6%
Israele
5%
Francia
5%
Romania
4%
Italia
2%
Moldavia
1%
Ucraina
1%
Croazia
1%
Malta
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Svezia
1%
Cechia
1%
Cipro
1%
Albania
<1%
Norvegia
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Lussemburgo
<1%
Polonia
<1%
Austria
<1%
Germania
<1%
Lettonia
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Svizzera
<1%
Regno Unito
<1%
Belgio
<1%
Azerbaigian
<1%
Finlandia 43.9%
Grecia 14.0%
Danimarca 12.5%
Australia 5.7%
$157,870,679 Vol.
$157,870,679 Vol.
16 mag 2026
Finlandia
$4,646,205 Vol.
44%
Grecia
$3,899,629 Vol.
14%
Danimarca
$2,428,026 Vol.
13%
Australia
$2,586,156 Vol.
6%
Israele
$2,985,960 Vol.
5%
Francia
$3,196,037 Vol.
5%
Romania
$2,711,159 Vol.
4%
Italia
$3,734,192 Vol.
2%
Moldavia
$4,173,984 Vol.
1%
Ucraina
$2,806,917 Vol.
1%
Croazia
$4,503,867 Vol.
1%
Malta
$2,980,653 Vol.
1%
Bulgaria
$3,081,496 Vol.
1%
Svezia
$2,147,372 Vol.
1%
Cechia
$2,294,398 Vol.
1%
Cipro
$2,745,480 Vol.
1%
Albania
$6,753,811 Vol.
<1%
Norvegia
$4,471,102 Vol.
<1%
Serbia
$5,580,065 Vol.
<1%
Lussemburgo
$3,755,111 Vol.
<1%
Polonia
$6,437,915 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$7,250,221 Vol.
<1%
Germania
$3,372,806 Vol.
<1%
Lettonia
$5,799,045 Vol.
<1%
Armenia
$6,513,635 Vol.
<1%
Lituania
$5,259,833 Vol.
<1%
Svizzera
$5,742,633 Vol.
<1%
Regno Unito
$3,585,075 Vol.
<1%
Belgio
$5,058,172 Vol.
<1%
Azerbaigian
$6,700,567 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$157,870,679Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$157,870,679Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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