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icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Finlandia 43.9%

Grecia 14.0%

Danimarca 12.3%

Australia 5.7%

Polymarket

$158,017,939 Vol.

Finlandia 43.9%

Grecia 14.0%

Danimarca 12.3%

Australia 5.7%

Polymarket

$158,017,939 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$4,647,039 Vol.

44%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$3,902,773 Vol.

14%

icon for Danimarca

Danimarca

$2,429,661 Vol.

12%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,588,715 Vol.

6%

icon for Israele

Israele

$2,991,092 Vol.

5%

icon for Francia

Francia

$3,199,759 Vol.

5%

icon for Romania

Romania

$2,742,657 Vol.

3%

icon for Italia

Italia

$3,737,151 Vol.

2%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$4,179,487 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucraina

Ucraina

$2,809,901 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$3,083,712 Vol.

1%

icon for Croazia

Croazia

$4,505,584 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,980,701 Vol.

1%

icon for Cechia

Cechia

$2,323,006 Vol.

1%

icon for Svezia

Svezia

$2,149,453 Vol.

1%

icon for Cipro

Cipro

$2,748,741 Vol.

1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$6,753,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norvegia

Norvegia

$4,472,249 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$5,580,454 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lussemburgo

Lussemburgo

$3,755,441 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$6,438,954 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,250,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germania

Germania

$3,373,556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lettonia

Lettonia

$5,799,045 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$6,514,546 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$5,260,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Svizzera

Svizzera

$5,744,472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regno Unito

Regno Unito

$3,585,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgio

Belgio

$5,058,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaigian

Azerbaigian

$6,700,567 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a commanding 43.9% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by powerhouse duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-fueled ballad blending cinematic spectacle and emotional depth that dominated Finland's UMK national final and topped OGAE fan polls. Strong first-rehearsal buzz and a flawless Semi-Final 1 qualification on May 12 in Vienna cemented trader consensus on its jury-televote balance, tightening odds below 2.00 post-rehearsals. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14.0% with "Ferto"'s electrifying staging earning televote hype in the same semi, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.3% on "Før vi går hjem"'s heartfelt Melodi Grand Prix momentum ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Israel, Australia, and France trail amid unpredictable juries and diaspora voting.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$158,017,939
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a commanding 43.9% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by powerhouse duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-fueled ballad blending cinematic spectacle and emotional depth that dominated Finland's UMK national final and topped OGAE fan polls. Strong first-rehearsal buzz and a flawless Semi-Final 1 qualification on May 12 in Vienna cemented trader consensus on its jury-televote balance, tightening odds below 2.00 post-rehearsals. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14.0% with "Ferto"'s electrifying staging earning televote hype in the same semi, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.3% on "Før vi går hjem"'s heartfelt Melodi Grand Prix momentum ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Israel, Australia, and France trail amid unpredictable juries and diaspora voting.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$158,017,939
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 35 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Finlandia" a 44%, seguito da "Grecia" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" ha generato $158 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 6, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore Eurovision 2026", esplora i 35 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è "Finlandia" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Grecia" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.