The fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire in Gaza, established in late 2025, remains stalled in its second phase amid demands that Hamas fully disarm before any international stabilization or security force can deploy. Israeli authorities have blocked recent site visits by potential contributing nations including Indonesia, Morocco, and others, while Hamas leaders continue to reject foreign troops or external governance structures inside the territory. The U.S.-led Board of Peace has shifted focus to implementing reconstruction plans only in areas outside Hamas control, following the closure of its monitoring mission on May 1. Ongoing Cairo-mediated talks and Israeli threats to resume operations if disarmament fails create the principal near-term variables ahead of the June 30 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$613,273 Vol.

30 giugno
14%
$613,273 Vol.

30 giugno
14%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire in Gaza, established in late 2025, remains stalled in its second phase amid demands that Hamas fully disarm before any international stabilization or security force can deploy. Israeli authorities have blocked recent site visits by potential contributing nations including Indonesia, Morocco, and others, while Hamas leaders continue to reject foreign troops or external governance structures inside the territory. The U.S.-led Board of Peace has shifted focus to implementing reconstruction plans only in areas outside Hamas control, following the closure of its monitoring mission on May 1. Ongoing Cairo-mediated talks and Israeli threats to resume operations if disarmament fails create the principal near-term variables ahead of the June 30 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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