Israel's rejection of the U.S.-backed Trump peace plan on August 9, 2026, with Prime Minister Netanyahu stating that forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, has heightened expectations of renewed escalation. This followed months of a largely holding but fragile ceasefire in place since October 2025, amid Israeli control of roughly 64 percent of Gaza territory and periodic strikes, including recent hits on medical facilities. Israeli military leadership has publicly signaled intent for expanded operations to eliminate remaining militant infrastructure, while satellite imagery shows ongoing construction of security barriers inside the strip. Traders are weighing these diplomatic breakdowns and statements against the procedural and logistical timelines required for a large-scale ground mobilization.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$750,603 Vol.
30 ott 2025
31 dicembre
11%
$750,603 Vol.
31 dicembre
$100,972 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's rejection of the U.S.-backed Trump peace plan on August 9, 2026, with Prime Minister Netanyahu stating that forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, has heightened expectations of renewed escalation. This followed months of a largely holding but fragile ceasefire in place since October 2025, amid Israeli control of roughly 64 percent of Gaza territory and periodic strikes, including recent hits on medical facilities. Israeli military leadership has publicly signaled intent for expanded operations to eliminate remaining militant infrastructure, while satellite imagery shows ongoing construction of security barriers inside the strip. Traders are weighing these diplomatic breakdowns and statements against the procedural and logistical timelines required for a large-scale ground mobilization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$750,603Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's rejection of the U.S.-backed Trump peace plan on August 9, 2026, with Prime Minister Netanyahu stating that forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, has heightened expectations of renewed escalation. This followed months of a largely holding but fragile ceasefire in place since October 2025, amid Israeli control of roughly 64 percent of Gaza territory and periodic strikes, including recent hits on medical facilities. Israeli military leadership has publicly signaled intent for expanded operations to eliminate remaining militant infrastructure, while satellite imagery shows ongoing construction of security barriers inside the strip. Traders are weighing these diplomatic breakdowns and statements against the procedural and logistical timelines required for a large-scale ground mobilization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$750,603Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's rejection of the U.S.-backed Trump peace plan on August 9, 2026, with Prime Minister Netanyahu stating that forces will not withdraw until Hamas is fully disarmed, has heightened expectations of renewed escalation. This followed months of a largely holding but fragile ceasefire in place since October 2025, amid Israeli control of roughly 64 percent of Gaza territory and periodic strikes, including recent hits on medical facilities. Israeli military leadership has publicly signaled intent for expanded operations to eliminate remaining militant infrastructure, while satellite imagery shows ongoing construction of security barriers inside the strip. Traders are weighing these diplomatic breakdowns and statements against the procedural and logistical timelines required for a large-scale ground mobilization.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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