Israel’s government has advanced de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet decisions transferring administrative powers from military to civilian ministries, restarting land registration, and easing settler land purchases—steps widely viewed as incremental integration rather than formal sovereignty declarations. These measures build on settlement expansion and outpost legalization trends but stop short of a Knesset vote or official annexation proclamation required for legal incorporation. International statements from nearly 20 countries, U.S. opposition to unilateral steps, and competing regional priorities have constrained momentum, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized other files. With the 2027 deadline now only months away, traders price the low likelihood of crossing into de jure annexation absent a major policy shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIsraele annetterà il territorio della Cisgiordania prima del 2027?
Israele annetterà il territorio della Cisgiordania prima del 2027?
Sì
9% probabilità
$90,012 Vol.
$90,012 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
9% probabilità
$90,012 Vol.
$90,012 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has advanced de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet decisions transferring administrative powers from military to civilian ministries, restarting land registration, and easing settler land purchases—steps widely viewed as incremental integration rather than formal sovereignty declarations. These measures build on settlement expansion and outpost legalization trends but stop short of a Knesset vote or official annexation proclamation required for legal incorporation. International statements from nearly 20 countries, U.S. opposition to unilateral steps, and competing regional priorities have constrained momentum, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized other files. With the 2027 deadline now only months away, traders price the low likelihood of crossing into de jure annexation absent a major policy shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$90,012Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has advanced de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet decisions transferring administrative powers from military to civilian ministries, restarting land registration, and easing settler land purchases—steps widely viewed as incremental integration rather than formal sovereignty declarations. These measures build on settlement expansion and outpost legalization trends but stop short of a Knesset vote or official annexation proclamation required for legal incorporation. International statements from nearly 20 countries, U.S. opposition to unilateral steps, and competing regional priorities have constrained momentum, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized other files. With the 2027 deadline now only months away, traders price the low likelihood of crossing into de jure annexation absent a major policy shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,012Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s government has advanced de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet decisions transferring administrative powers from military to civilian ministries, restarting land registration, and easing settler land purchases—steps widely viewed as incremental integration rather than formal sovereignty declarations. These measures build on settlement expansion and outpost legalization trends but stop short of a Knesset vote or official annexation proclamation required for legal incorporation. International statements from nearly 20 countries, U.S. opposition to unilateral steps, and competing regional priorities have constrained momentum, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized other files. With the 2027 deadline now only months away, traders price the low likelihood of crossing into de jure annexation absent a major policy shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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