Forecast consensus from European models points to a maximum of 25–27°C in Amsterdam on July 9, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes and a seasonal warm anomaly over northern Europe. High pressure favoring southerly flow, above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures, and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating above the July climatological normal of 21–22°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in timing of any frontal passage introduce the observed probability dispersion across the 24–28°C range, while the low odds on extremes reflect the narrow historical variability for early-July maxima and the short two-day forecast horizon. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely refine boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 9?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 9?
26°C 31%
27°C 18.1%
25°C 18%
24°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 lug 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
18%
26°C
31%
27°C
18%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 31%
27°C 18.1%
25°C 18%
24°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 lug 2026
21°C or below
$397 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$523 Vol.
1%
23°C
$27 Vol.
4%
24°C
$88 Vol.
8%
25°C
$41 Vol.
18%
26°C
$61 Vol.
31%
27°C
$36 Vol.
18%
28°C
$93 Vol.
7%
29°C
$37 Vol.
4%
30°C
$86 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models points to a maximum of 25–27°C in Amsterdam on July 9, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes and a seasonal warm anomaly over northern Europe. High pressure favoring southerly flow, above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures, and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating above the July climatological normal of 21–22°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in timing of any frontal passage introduce the observed probability dispersion across the 24–28°C range, while the low odds on extremes reflect the narrow historical variability for early-July maxima and the short two-day forecast horizon. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely refine boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,340Data di fine
9 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models points to a maximum of 25–27°C in Amsterdam on July 9, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes and a seasonal warm anomaly over northern Europe. High pressure favoring southerly flow, above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures, and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating above the July climatological normal of 21–22°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in timing of any frontal passage introduce the observed probability dispersion across the 24–28°C range, while the low odds on extremes reflect the narrow historical variability for early-July maxima and the short two-day forecast horizon. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely refine boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,340Data di fine
9 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from European models points to a maximum of 25–27°C in Amsterdam on July 9, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes and a seasonal warm anomaly over northern Europe. High pressure favoring southerly flow, above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures, and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating above the July climatological normal of 21–22°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in timing of any frontal passage introduce the observed probability dispersion across the 24–28°C range, while the low odds on extremes reflect the narrow historical variability for early-July maxima and the short two-day forecast horizon. Updated KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely refine boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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