**Strong scientific consensus on above-normal summer warmth positions 31°C or higher as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability.** Qingdao’s early-July climatology features average daily highs of 27–29°C under East Asian monsoon conditions, with high humidity and occasional sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea. National Climate Center guidance for summer 2026 highlights elevated temperatures across northern China, driven by warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric circulation patterns that favor southerly flow and subsidence. Recent model runs continue to show potential for brief heat spikes above 30°C before any coastal cooling or showers arrive, keeping the upper outcome dominant. Lower brackets (30°C at 24.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible marine-layer influence or timing of precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble guidance maintain the bias toward the 31°C+ outcome through the July 9 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 9?
31°C or higher 78%
30°C 17%
29°C 4.5%
28°C 1.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 lug 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
78%
31°C or higher 78%
30°C 17%
29°C 4.5%
28°C 1.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 lug 2026
21°C or below
$703 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$651 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$106 Vol.
1%
28°C
$105 Vol.
1%
29°C
$25 Vol.
5%
30°C
$68 Vol.
17%
31°C or higher
$190 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong scientific consensus on above-normal summer warmth positions 31°C or higher as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability.** Qingdao’s early-July climatology features average daily highs of 27–29°C under East Asian monsoon conditions, with high humidity and occasional sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea. National Climate Center guidance for summer 2026 highlights elevated temperatures across northern China, driven by warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric circulation patterns that favor southerly flow and subsidence. Recent model runs continue to show potential for brief heat spikes above 30°C before any coastal cooling or showers arrive, keeping the upper outcome dominant. Lower brackets (30°C at 24.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible marine-layer influence or timing of precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble guidance maintain the bias toward the 31°C+ outcome through the July 9 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,714Data di fine
9 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong scientific consensus on above-normal summer warmth positions 31°C or higher as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability.** Qingdao’s early-July climatology features average daily highs of 27–29°C under East Asian monsoon conditions, with high humidity and occasional sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea. National Climate Center guidance for summer 2026 highlights elevated temperatures across northern China, driven by warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric circulation patterns that favor southerly flow and subsidence. Recent model runs continue to show potential for brief heat spikes above 30°C before any coastal cooling or showers arrive, keeping the upper outcome dominant. Lower brackets (30°C at 24.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible marine-layer influence or timing of precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble guidance maintain the bias toward the 31°C+ outcome through the July 9 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,714Data di fine
9 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong scientific consensus on above-normal summer warmth positions 31°C or higher as the clear market leader at 75.5% implied probability.** Qingdao’s early-July climatology features average daily highs of 27–29°C under East Asian monsoon conditions, with high humidity and occasional sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea. National Climate Center guidance for summer 2026 highlights elevated temperatures across northern China, driven by warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric circulation patterns that favor southerly flow and subsidence. Recent model runs continue to show potential for brief heat spikes above 30°C before any coastal cooling or showers arrive, keeping the upper outcome dominant. Lower brackets (30°C at 24.5%) reflect residual uncertainty from possible marine-layer influence or timing of precipitation, but current observational trends and ensemble guidance maintain the bias toward the 31°C+ outcome through the July 9 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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