Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a heat wave pushing highs into the low-to-mid 90s on June 12, with Austin expected near 94–95°F under partly sunny skies and southerly flow. This drives the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 34.5 percent, followed closely by 90–91°F, as ensemble guidance converges on values just above the June climatological average of 93°F. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–3°F off peak readings, versus stronger insolation that would push toward 94–95°F. Model spread and typical forecast error of ±2°F create the observed distribution across bins, with probabilities above 96°F remaining low absent rapid warming. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 12 giugno?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 12 giugno?
92-93°F 35%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 giu 2026
81°F o meno
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
35%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
4%
100°F o superiore
1%
92-93°F 35%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 giu 2026
81°F o meno
$103 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$96 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$160 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$132 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$7 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$80 Vol.
25%
92-93°F
$132 Vol.
35%
94-95°F
$22 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$7 Vol.
13%
98-99°F
$55 Vol.
4%
100°F o superiore
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a heat wave pushing highs into the low-to-mid 90s on June 12, with Austin expected near 94–95°F under partly sunny skies and southerly flow. This drives the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 34.5 percent, followed closely by 90–91°F, as ensemble guidance converges on values just above the June climatological average of 93°F. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–3°F off peak readings, versus stronger insolation that would push toward 94–95°F. Model spread and typical forecast error of ±2°F create the observed distribution across bins, with probabilities above 96°F remaining low absent rapid warming. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$783Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a heat wave pushing highs into the low-to-mid 90s on June 12, with Austin expected near 94–95°F under partly sunny skies and southerly flow. This drives the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 34.5 percent, followed closely by 90–91°F, as ensemble guidance converges on values just above the June climatological average of 93°F. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–3°F off peak readings, versus stronger insolation that would push toward 94–95°F. Model spread and typical forecast error of ±2°F create the observed distribution across bins, with probabilities above 96°F remaining low absent rapid warming. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$783Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a heat wave pushing highs into the low-to-mid 90s on June 12, with Austin expected near 94–95°F under partly sunny skies and southerly flow. This drives the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 34.5 percent, followed closely by 90–91°F, as ensemble guidance converges on values just above the June climatological average of 93°F. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–3°F off peak readings, versus stronger insolation that would push toward 94–95°F. Model spread and typical forecast error of ±2°F create the observed distribution across bins, with probabilities above 96°F remaining low absent rapid warming. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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