Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 78–79°F on June 10, 2026, aligning precisely with climatological expectations for early June marine-layer conditions that typically cap highs near 70°F but allow brief warming under clear skies. This outcome reflects verified surface measurements rather than model projections, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that narrow range. Minor revisions to the official climatological report remain the only realistic pathway for any shift, though historical practice shows such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are finalized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 10?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$82,787 Vol.
$82,787 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$82,787 Vol.
$82,787 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport confirm a daily maximum of 78–79°F on June 10, 2026, aligning precisely with climatological expectations for early June marine-layer conditions that typically cap highs near 70°F but allow brief warming under clear skies. This outcome reflects verified surface measurements rather than model projections, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that narrow range. Minor revisions to the official climatological report remain the only realistic pathway for any shift, though historical practice shows such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are finalized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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