**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s highest temperature on June 11, 2026, centers on 31°C and 32°C because multiple official and commercial forecasts converge on a daytime high in that narrow range under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Current guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, Trip.com, and Chinese meteorological summaries shows a forecast high of 30–32 °C (86–90 °F) with light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 30–50 %, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with Beijing’s climatological June norms, when average daily maxima rise steadily from the mid-20s °C early in the month to the low 30s °C by mid-June, driven by increasing solar insolation and the seasonal shift toward monsoon-influenced flow. No strong heatwave, cold-air intrusion, or significant cloud cover is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. The heavy weighting on 31 °C (81 % implied probability) reflects the most probable outcome under current atmospheric steering patterns, while the secondary 32 °C share (18.5 %) accounts for modest model spread or slight afternoon warming. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus forecast from authoritative agencies rather than outlier scenarios, consistent with the market’s resolution against verified daily maximum observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
31°C 87%
32°C 13%
33°C 2.6%
34°C <1%
$64,644 Vol.
$64,644 Vol.
11 giu 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
87%
32°C
13%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 87%
32°C 13%
33°C 2.6%
34°C <1%
$64,644 Vol.
$64,644 Vol.
11 giu 2026
27°C or below
$8,074 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,713 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,001 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10,585 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,518 Vol.
87%
32°C
$4,235 Vol.
13%
33°C
$7,243 Vol.
3%
34°C
$6,569 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,813 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,262 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s highest temperature on June 11, 2026, centers on 31°C and 32°C because multiple official and commercial forecasts converge on a daytime high in that narrow range under clear to partly cloudy skies.**
Current guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, Trip.com, and Chinese meteorological summaries shows a forecast high of 30–32 °C (86–90 °F) with light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 30–50 %, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with Beijing’s climatological June norms, when average daily maxima rise steadily from the mid-20s °C early in the month to the low 30s °C by mid-June, driven by increasing solar insolation and the seasonal shift toward monsoon-influenced flow.
No strong heatwave, cold-air intrusion, or significant cloud cover is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. The heavy weighting on 31 °C (81 % implied probability) reflects the most probable outcome under current atmospheric steering patterns, while the secondary 32 °C share (18.5 %) accounts for modest model spread or slight afternoon warming. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus forecast from authoritative agencies rather than outlier scenarios, consistent with the market’s resolution against verified daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$64,644Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s highest temperature on June 11, 2026, centers on 31°C and 32°C because multiple official and commercial forecasts converge on a daytime high in that narrow range under clear to partly cloudy skies.**
Current guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, Trip.com, and Chinese meteorological summaries shows a forecast high of 30–32 °C (86–90 °F) with light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 30–50 %, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with Beijing’s climatological June norms, when average daily maxima rise steadily from the mid-20s °C early in the month to the low 30s °C by mid-June, driven by increasing solar insolation and the seasonal shift toward monsoon-influenced flow.
No strong heatwave, cold-air intrusion, or significant cloud cover is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. The heavy weighting on 31 °C (81 % implied probability) reflects the most probable outcome under current atmospheric steering patterns, while the secondary 32 °C share (18.5 %) accounts for modest model spread or slight afternoon warming. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus forecast from authoritative agencies rather than outlier scenarios, consistent with the market’s resolution against verified daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,644Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s highest temperature on June 11, 2026, centers on 31°C and 32°C because multiple official and commercial forecasts converge on a daytime high in that narrow range under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Current guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, Trip.com, and Chinese meteorological summaries shows a forecast high of 30–32 °C (86–90 °F) with light northeasterly winds, low humidity around 30–50 %, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with Beijing’s climatological June norms, when average daily maxima rise steadily from the mid-20s °C early in the month to the low 30s °C by mid-June, driven by increasing solar insolation and the seasonal shift toward monsoon-influenced flow. No strong heatwave, cold-air intrusion, or significant cloud cover is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. The heavy weighting on 31 °C (81 % implied probability) reflects the most probable outcome under current atmospheric steering patterns, while the secondary 32 °C share (18.5 %) accounts for modest model spread or slight afternoon warming. Traders are effectively pricing the consensus forecast from authoritative agencies rather than outlier scenarios, consistent with the market’s resolution against verified daily maximum observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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