Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Paris overnight lows on June 13 will likely settle between 12–15 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15 °C. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by surface dew points and minimal cloud cover, sets the minimum, while subtle differences in model handling of boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention create the spread between 13 °C and 15 °C outcomes. Recent Météo-France and Meteored guidance reinforces this range with no major shifts expected before resolution, though small revisions in 48-hour model runs could still tip the exact recorded low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 13 giugno?
15°C 38%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
12°C 18%
9°C o inferiore
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
18%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 38%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
12°C 18%
9°C o inferiore
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
18%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Paris overnight lows on June 13 will likely settle between 12–15 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15 °C. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by surface dew points and minimal cloud cover, sets the minimum, while subtle differences in model handling of boundary-layer moisture and local urban heat retention create the spread between 13 °C and 15 °C outcomes. Recent Météo-France and Meteored guidance reinforces this range with no major shifts expected before resolution, though small revisions in 48-hour model runs could still tip the exact recorded low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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