Forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models shows an overnight minimum of 10°C for Paris on June 11, with cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation limiting further cooling below this threshold. This aligns with current synoptic conditions featuring a stable air mass and temperatures settling between 10°C and 19°C, consistent with recent observations and slightly below early-June climatological averages. Trader positioning at 99.6% implied probability for the 10°C outcome reflects high confidence in these official guidance products and the narrow resolution window for the lowest recorded value at the reference station. Only a sharp, unexpected radiative cooling event or localized measurement anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi l'11 giugno?
10°C 100.0%
6°C o inferiore <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$13,262 Vol.
$13,262 Vol.
6°C o inferiore
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Sì
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C o superiore
No
10°C 100.0%
6°C o inferiore <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$13,262 Vol.
$13,262 Vol.
6°C o inferiore
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Sì
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models shows an overnight minimum of 10°C for Paris on June 11, with cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation limiting further cooling below this threshold. This aligns with current synoptic conditions featuring a stable air mass and temperatures settling between 10°C and 19°C, consistent with recent observations and slightly below early-June climatological averages. Trader positioning at 99.6% implied probability for the 10°C outcome reflects high confidence in these official guidance products and the narrow resolution window for the lowest recorded value at the reference station. Only a sharp, unexpected radiative cooling event or localized measurement anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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