Cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the ongoing Meiyu (plum rain) pattern are the dominant factors holding Taipei’s peak temperature near 24–25 °C on June 11. Central Weather Administration forecasts list a daytime range of 23–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of rain, limiting solar heating and preventing the stronger afternoon warming typical of early June. Recent model guidance and surface observations have shown little upward revision, reinforcing trader consensus around the 24 °C outcome at roughly 75 % implied probability. Seasonal averages near 30–32 °C remain relevant context but are overridden today by persistent moisture and reduced insolation, keeping odds for 26 °C or higher below 10 %. Updated CWA bulletins and any late-day radar trends will provide the final confirmation for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei l'11 giugno?
24°C 75.2%
25°C 21%
26°C 7%
28°C <1%
$45,153 Vol.
$45,153 Vol.
23°C o meno
<1%
24°C
75%
25°C
21%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 75.2%
25°C 21%
26°C 7%
28°C <1%
$45,153 Vol.
$45,153 Vol.
23°C o meno
<1%
24°C
75%
25°C
21%
26°C
7%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the ongoing Meiyu (plum rain) pattern are the dominant factors holding Taipei’s peak temperature near 24–25 °C on June 11. Central Weather Administration forecasts list a daytime range of 23–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of rain, limiting solar heating and preventing the stronger afternoon warming typical of early June. Recent model guidance and surface observations have shown little upward revision, reinforcing trader consensus around the 24 °C outcome at roughly 75 % implied probability. Seasonal averages near 30–32 °C remain relevant context but are overridden today by persistent moisture and reduced insolation, keeping odds for 26 °C or higher below 10 %. Updated CWA bulletins and any late-day radar trends will provide the final confirmation for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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