Recent model guidance from global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon temperatures most likely peaking near 16 °C under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 15–17 °C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, insolation, and any weak frontal passage timing. June climatology shows average daily maxima of 15–16 °C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while an emerging El Niño pattern favors slightly warmer-than-average anomalies across subtropical South America. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model runs will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 12 giugno?
16°C 36%
17°C 28%
15°C 20%
18°C 10%
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
36%
17°C
28%
18°C
10%
19°C o superiore
6%
16°C 36%
17°C 28%
15°C 20%
18°C 10%
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
36%
17°C
28%
18°C
10%
19°C o superiore
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon temperatures most likely peaking near 16 °C under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 15–17 °C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, insolation, and any weak frontal passage timing. June climatology shows average daily maxima of 15–16 °C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while an emerging El Niño pattern favors slightly warmer-than-average anomalies across subtropical South America. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model runs will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti