Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
22°C 31%
21°C 26%
20°C 22%
19°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 mag 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
22%
21°C
26%
22°C
31%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 31%
21°C 26%
20°C 22%
19°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 mag 2026
15°C or below
$106 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$167 Vol.
1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
5%
19°C
$121 Vol.
13%
20°C
$101 Vol.
22%
21°C
$176 Vol.
26%
22°C
$297 Vol.
31%
23°C
$94 Vol.
9%
24°C
$110 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$105 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$1,561Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,561Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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