Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 12 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 12 luglio?
12°C 43%
13°C 31%
11°C 19%
14°C 6.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 lug 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
19%
12°C
43%
13°C
31%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 43%
13°C 31%
11°C 19%
14°C 6.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 lug 2026
6°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$418 Vol.
1%
10°C
$166 Vol.
3%
11°C
$546 Vol.
19%
12°C
$39 Vol.
43%
13°C
$24 Vol.
31%
14°C
$58 Vol.
6%
15°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,987Data di fine
12 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,987Data di fine
12 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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