Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 6?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 6?
40°C 32%
41°C or higher 28%
39°C 17%
37°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 lug 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C
8%
38°C
6%
39°C
17%
40°C
32%
41°C or higher
28%
40°C 32%
41°C or higher 28%
39°C 17%
37°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 lug 2026
31°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
1%
34°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$70 Vol.
2%
36°C
$91 Vol.
3%
37°C
$0 Vol.
8%
38°C
$0 Vol.
6%
39°C
$55 Vol.
17%
40°C
$12 Vol.
32%
41°C or higher
$38 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$268Data di fine
6 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$268Data di fine
6 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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