Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 22 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 22 maggio?
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 23%
25°C 7.4%
NUOVO
$15,034 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,034 Vol.
22 mag 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C o superiore
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 23%
25°C 7.4%
NUOVO
$15,034 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,034 Vol.
22 mag 2026
20°C or below
$861 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,365 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,063 Vol.
1%
23°C
$752 Vol.
1%
24°C
$953 Vol.
4%
25°C
$964 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,243 Vol.
23%
27°C
$1,394 Vol.
36%
28°C
$1,697 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1,091 Vol.
5%
30°C o superiore
$1,728 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,034Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,034Data di fine
22 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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