**Recent monsoon dynamics and short-range forecast consensus are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow's September 12 maximum near 32–34 °C.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daily maxima of 34–35 °C under weakening monsoon flow, while a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to increase moisture and cloud cover precisely around the 12th, capping potential outliers above 34 °C. Historical September climatology for Lucknow places the long-term average maximum near 33–34 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on 32 °C (29 %), 33 °C (39 %), and 34 °C (28.5 %). Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 12 settembre?
33°C 44%
32°C 29%
34°C 17%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
29%
33°C
44%
34°C
17%
35°C
3%
36°C o superiore
3%
33°C 44%
32°C 29%
34°C 17%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$226 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C
$978 Vol.
29%
33°C
$126 Vol.
44%
34°C
$38 Vol.
17%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon dynamics and short-range forecast consensus are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow's September 12 maximum near 32–34 °C.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daily maxima of 34–35 °C under weakening monsoon flow, while a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to increase moisture and cloud cover precisely around the 12th, capping potential outliers above 34 °C. Historical September climatology for Lucknow places the long-term average maximum near 33–34 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on 32 °C (29 %), 33 °C (39 %), and 34 °C (28.5 %). Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,613Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon dynamics and short-range forecast consensus are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow's September 12 maximum near 32–34 °C.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daily maxima of 34–35 °C under weakening monsoon flow, while a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to increase moisture and cloud cover precisely around the 12th, capping potential outliers above 34 °C. Historical September climatology for Lucknow places the long-term average maximum near 33–34 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on 32 °C (29 %), 33 °C (39 %), and 34 °C (28.5 %). Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,613Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent monsoon dynamics and short-range forecast consensus are anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow's September 12 maximum near 32–34 °C.** Official and model guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent observations show daily maxima of 34–35 °C under weakening monsoon flow, while a fresh low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to increase moisture and cloud cover precisely around the 12th, capping potential outliers above 34 °C. Historical September climatology for Lucknow places the long-term average maximum near 33–34 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability mass on 32 °C (29 %), 33 °C (39 %), and 34 °C (28.5 %). Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied odds if rainfall timing or intensity deviates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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