Strong meteorological consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather supports the dominant market-implied probability for a 35°C high in Milan on August 16, with forecasts centering on sunny conditions, light winds, and daytime maxima around 35–37°C amid typical mid-August heat. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily under clear to hazy skies, with afternoon thunderstorm potential unlikely to suppress the peak. Historical climatology for the region aligns with these values as near-normal summer maxima, while ensemble model runs exhibit tight clustering around this threshold with limited spread. Resolution hinges on official station readings, so minor forecast revisions from late-day convection or measurement timing remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 16 agosto?
35°C 96%
36°C 3%
37°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$34,669 Vol.
$34,669 Vol.
16 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
96%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 96%
36°C 3%
37°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$34,669 Vol.
$34,669 Vol.
16 ago 2026
31°C or below
$1,501 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,453 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,057 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$11,722 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$8,079 Vol.
96%
36°C
$3,928 Vol.
3%
37°C
$2,246 Vol.
1%
38°C
$684 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$464 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong meteorological consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather supports the dominant market-implied probability for a 35°C high in Milan on August 16, with forecasts centering on sunny conditions, light winds, and daytime maxima around 35–37°C amid typical mid-August heat. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily under clear to hazy skies, with afternoon thunderstorm potential unlikely to suppress the peak. Historical climatology for the region aligns with these values as near-normal summer maxima, while ensemble model runs exhibit tight clustering around this threshold with limited spread. Resolution hinges on official station readings, so minor forecast revisions from late-day convection or measurement timing remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$34,669Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong meteorological consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather supports the dominant market-implied probability for a 35°C high in Milan on August 16, with forecasts centering on sunny conditions, light winds, and daytime maxima around 35–37°C amid typical mid-August heat. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily under clear to hazy skies, with afternoon thunderstorm potential unlikely to suppress the peak. Historical climatology for the region aligns with these values as near-normal summer maxima, while ensemble model runs exhibit tight clustering around this threshold with limited spread. Resolution hinges on official station readings, so minor forecast revisions from late-day convection or measurement timing remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,669Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong meteorological consensus from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather supports the dominant market-implied probability for a 35°C high in Milan on August 16, with forecasts centering on sunny conditions, light winds, and daytime maxima around 35–37°C amid typical mid-August heat. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily under clear to hazy skies, with afternoon thunderstorm potential unlikely to suppress the peak. Historical climatology for the region aligns with these values as near-normal summer maxima, while ensemble model runs exhibit tight clustering around this threshold with limited spread. Resolution hinges on official station readings, so minor forecast revisions from late-day convection or measurement timing remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes toward adjacent bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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