Latest ensemble forecasts from the DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C in Munich on August 31, driven by moderate westerly flow, morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing, and surface pressures near 1018 hPa. These conditions align with climatological late-August norms (average high 22.4 °C) while limiting strong diurnal heating. Trader consensus reflected in the 44 % and 33.5 % implied probabilities for 25 °C and 24 °C respectively captures this narrow range, with residual uncertainty tied to the precise timing and coverage of convective activity that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 31 agosto?
25°C 45%
24°C 34%
26°C 11%
23°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
34%
25°C
45%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 45%
24°C 34%
26°C 11%
23°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
18°C or below
$281 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$2 Vol.
34%
25°C
$118 Vol.
45%
26°C
$106 Vol.
11%
27°C
$144 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$142 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C in Munich on August 31, driven by moderate westerly flow, morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing, and surface pressures near 1018 hPa. These conditions align with climatological late-August norms (average high 22.4 °C) while limiting strong diurnal heating. Trader consensus reflected in the 44 % and 33.5 % implied probabilities for 25 °C and 24 °C respectively captures this narrow range, with residual uncertainty tied to the precise timing and coverage of convective activity that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$922Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C in Munich on August 31, driven by moderate westerly flow, morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing, and surface pressures near 1018 hPa. These conditions align with climatological late-August norms (average high 22.4 °C) while limiting strong diurnal heating. Trader consensus reflected in the 44 % and 33.5 % implied probabilities for 25 °C and 24 °C respectively captures this narrow range, with residual uncertainty tied to the precise timing and coverage of convective activity that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$922Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C in Munich on August 31, driven by moderate westerly flow, morning showers giving way to partial afternoon clearing, and surface pressures near 1018 hPa. These conditions align with climatological late-August norms (average high 22.4 °C) while limiting strong diurnal heating. Trader consensus reflected in the 44 % and 33.5 % implied probabilities for 25 °C and 24 °C respectively captures this narrow range, with residual uncertainty tied to the precise timing and coverage of convective activity that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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