Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to moderating conditions over the Northeast following the mid-July heatwave, with NYC maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely falling in the 83–87°F range. Forecasters cite a shift toward southwest flow with partial cloud cover and possible afternoon seabreeze influence that caps peak heating, consistent with climatological July highs near 83°F at Central Park. Uncertainty remains around exact boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection, which could trim or boost readings by 2–3°F depending on timing. This scientific spread underpins the tight market clustering around 84–87°F bins while limiting odds for extremes above 90°F or below 80°F. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will further refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 22 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 22 luglio?
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 31%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 lug 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 31%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 lug 2026
75°F or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$270 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$235 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$200 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$592 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$5,356 Vol.
31%
86-87°F
$408 Vol.
37%
88-89°F
$1,277 Vol.
15%
90-91°F
$446 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$245 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to moderating conditions over the Northeast following the mid-July heatwave, with NYC maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely falling in the 83–87°F range. Forecasters cite a shift toward southwest flow with partial cloud cover and possible afternoon seabreeze influence that caps peak heating, consistent with climatological July highs near 83°F at Central Park. Uncertainty remains around exact boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection, which could trim or boost readings by 2–3°F depending on timing. This scientific spread underpins the tight market clustering around 84–87°F bins while limiting odds for extremes above 90°F or below 80°F. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will further refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$9,615Data di fine
22 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to moderating conditions over the Northeast following the mid-July heatwave, with NYC maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely falling in the 83–87°F range. Forecasters cite a shift toward southwest flow with partial cloud cover and possible afternoon seabreeze influence that caps peak heating, consistent with climatological July highs near 83°F at Central Park. Uncertainty remains around exact boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection, which could trim or boost readings by 2–3°F depending on timing. This scientific spread underpins the tight market clustering around 84–87°F bins while limiting odds for extremes above 90°F or below 80°F. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will further refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,615Data di fine
22 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to moderating conditions over the Northeast following the mid-July heatwave, with NYC maximum temperatures on July 22 most likely falling in the 83–87°F range. Forecasters cite a shift toward southwest flow with partial cloud cover and possible afternoon seabreeze influence that caps peak heating, consistent with climatological July highs near 83°F at Central Park. Uncertainty remains around exact boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection, which could trim or boost readings by 2–3°F depending on timing. This scientific spread underpins the tight market clustering around 84–87°F bins while limiting odds for extremes above 90°F or below 80°F. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will further refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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